Judgment and Decision Making

Researchers in a growing number of fields - public policy, law, business, medicine, psychology, engineering, and others - are working to understand and improve human judgment and decision making. This book, which presupposes no formal training, brings together a selection of key articles in the area, with careful organization, introduction and commentaries. Issues involving medical diagnosis, weather forecasting, labor negotiations, risk, public policy, business strategy, eyewitnesses, jury decisions issues, and more are treated in this largely expanded volume, indicating the variety of problems - and scope in judgment and decision making. This is a revision of Arkes and Hammond’s 1986 collection of papers on judgment and decision making. Updated and extended, the focus of this volume is interdisciplinary and applied. The papers selected are scientific in nature, but chosen specifically to appeal to the scholar, student and layperson alike.

• Applies research to several different disciplines • Well organized, with commentary and introduction • Completely revised from earlier edition, with two chapters specially commissioned for the book

Contents

Part I. Introduction and Overview; Part II. Applications in Public Policy; Part III. Applications in Economics; Part IV. Legal Applications; Part V. Medical Applications; Part VI. Experts; Part VII. Forecasting and Prediction; Part VIII. Bargaining and negotiation; Part IX. Risk; Part X. Research Methods; Part XI. Critiques and New Directions I; Part XII. Critiques and New Directions II.